Will Dan Bongino say “Democrat”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Dan Bongino said “Democrat” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Aug 26, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Dan Bongino
Democrat
- Probability
- 56% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 12 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Dan Bongino say “Democrat”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Dan Bongino said “Democrat” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Dan Bongino says “Democrat” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Dan Bongino: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/dan-bongino/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=dan-bongino&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=dan-bongino&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP