Will “New York” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “New York” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- the host
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceABC World News Tonight
New York
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: the host
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
FROM ABC NEWS WORLD HEADQUARTERS IN NEW YORK. THIS IS WORLD NEWS TONIGHT WITH DAVID MUIR. GOOD EVENING.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…AS A CHILD BECAUSE OF ABUSE. TONIGHT, PRESIDENT TRUMP DEFENDING THE AD, BUT OHIO'S CURRENT REPUBLICAN GOVERNOR SAYING TAKE IT DOWN. IN NEW YORK CITY
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Authorities say a student in the school with a gun. Tonight in New York City, a retired NYPD detective charged with murder after a driver…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
mystery over New York's Central Park. Do you know what this is? And tonight here we remember an actor who played Santa Claus eight different…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…flames. And the severe thunderstorm watch up right now for the Northeast. The storm set to hit New York City and much of the Northeast.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shownQuestions
- How often is “New York” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “New York” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “New York” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘New York’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/new-york (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=new%20york · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP