Will “CIA / Central Intelligence Agency” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “CIA / Central Intelligence Agency” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
CIA / Central Intelligence Agency
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | CIA / Central Intelligence Agency |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | CIA / Central Intelligence Agency | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “CIA / Central Intelligence Agency” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “CIA / Central Intelligence Agency” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 6, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
- What is the probability “CIA / Central Intelligence Agency” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘CIA / Central Intelligence Agency’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/central-intelligence-agency-or-cia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=central%20intelligence%20agency%20%2F%20cia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP