Will “State of the Union” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “State of the Union” was not said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
State of the Union
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | State of the Union |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “State of the Union” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “State of the Union” was not said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “State of the Union” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘State of the Union’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/state-of-the-union (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=state%20of%20the%20union · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP