Will “Billion / Trillion” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Billion / Trillion” was said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 21, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
Billion / Trillion
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Billion / Trillion |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Billion / Trillion” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Billion / Trillion” was said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Billion / Trillion” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Billion / Trillion’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/billion-or-trillion (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=billion%20%2F%20trillion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP