Saturday in America
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 41 word markets on Saturday in America since 2026, on 34 different words.
History Wall
1–34 of 34, most settled first| Word | Aug 29episode | Sep 12episode | Sep 19episode | Oct 17latest | Last 4 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 5 times: Trump, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | 1 time: Trump, Sep 12 episode, counts as said | 4 times: Trump, Sep 19 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Trump, Oct 17 episode | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | 54%n=3 from settlement history |
| Fraud | 0 times: Fraud, Aug 29 episode | 2 times: Fraud, Sep 12 episode, counts as said | 0 times: Fraud, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Oct 17 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | 40%n=3 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 29 episode | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 12 episode | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 19 episode, counts as said | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 17 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 44%n=2 from settlement history |
| Democrat | Not listed: Democrat, Aug 29 episode | 0 times: Democrat, Sep 12 episode | 1 time: Democrat, Sep 19 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Democrat, Oct 17 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 44%n=2 from settlement history |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 29 episode | 0 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 17 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Autism / Autistic | 1 time: Autism / Autistic, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Autism / Autistic, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China / Chinese | Not listed: China / Chinese, Aug 29 episode | 2 times: China / Chinese, Sep 12 episode, counts as said | Not listed: China / Chinese, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Chronic | 6 times: Chronic, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Chronic, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Chronic, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Chronic, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crime / Criminal | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Aug 29 episode | 5 times: Crime / Criminal, Sep 12 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Aug 29 episode | 1 time: Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Sep 12 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Cybersecurity / Security | Not listed: Cybersecurity / Security, Aug 29 episode | 1 time: Cybersecurity / Security, Sep 12 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Cybersecurity / Security, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Cybersecurity / Security, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Healthcare | 1 time: Healthcare, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Healthcare, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Obese / Obesity | 3 times: Obese / Obesity, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Peptide | 1 time: Peptide, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Peptide, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Peptide, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Peptide, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Pharmaceutical / Pharma | 5 times: Pharmaceutical / Pharma, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Pharmaceutical / Pharma, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Pharmaceutical / Pharma, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Pharmaceutical / Pharma, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| United Kingdom / UK | Not listed: United Kingdom / UK, Aug 29 episode | 2 times: United Kingdom / UK, Sep 12 episode, counts as said | Not listed: United Kingdom / UK, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: United Kingdom / UK, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Vaccine / Vaccination | 5 times: Vaccine / Vaccination, Aug 29 episode, counts as said | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Vaccine / Vaccination, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ballroom / Pool | Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Aug 29 episode | 0 times: Ballroom / Pool, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bestiality | Not listed: Bestiality, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Bestiality, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Bestiality, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Bestiality, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Biden | Not listed: Biden, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Biden, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Biden, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Biden, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bitcoin | Not listed: Bitcoin, Aug 29 episode | 0 times: Bitcoin, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Bitcoin, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Canada / Canadian | Not listed: Canada / Canadian, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Canada / Canadian, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Canada / Canadian, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Canada / Canadian, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Election, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Election, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Election, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Epstein | Not listed: Epstein, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Epstein, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| FBI | Not listed: FBI, Aug 29 episode | 0 times: FBI, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: FBI, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: FBI, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Fentanyl | Not listed: Fentanyl, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Fentanyl, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Fentanyl / Opioid | 0 times: Fentanyl / Opioid, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl / Opioid, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl / Opioid, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl / Opioid, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | 1 time: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Aug 29 episode, counts as said (our count 1 · the market settled no) | Not listed: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: MAHA / Make America Healthy Again, Oct 17 episode | 1/1100% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Sugar | 0 times: Sugar, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Sugar, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: Sugar, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Sugar, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Surveillance | Not listed: Surveillance, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Surveillance, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Surveillance, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Surveillance, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| TrumpRX | 0 times: TrumpRX, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: TrumpRX, Sep 12 episode | Not listed: TrumpRX, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: TrumpRX, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Weaponization / Weaponized / Weaponize | Not listed: Weaponization / Weaponized / Weaponize, Aug 29 episode | Not listed: Weaponization / Weaponized / Weaponize, Sep 12 episode | 0 times: Weaponization / Weaponized / Weaponize, Sep 19 episode | Not listed: Weaponization / Weaponized / Weaponize, Oct 17 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 4Our transcript counts matched how 40 of 41 settled words resolved (97.6%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Katie Zacharia say during Saturday in America? | Captions · machine-attributed | 20 | 1 yes · 19 no | – |
| Sep 19, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Kash Patel say during Fox News: Saturday in America? | Captions · machine-attributed | 15 | 3 yes · 12 no | 14/14 (100%) |
| Sep 12, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Jeanine Pirro say during Saturday in America? | Captions · machine-attributed | 14 | 7 yes · 7 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Aug 29, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will RFK say during Saturday in America? | Captions · machine-attributed | 15 | 8 yes · 7 no | 13/14 (93%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Saturday in America: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/saturday-in-america (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/saturday-in-america · words: /api/v1/history?entity=saturday-in-america · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP