Saturday in America (Fox News), October 17, 2026

On the Oct 17, 2026 episode of Saturday in America, 0 of the 19 words Kalshi listed were said. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Updated

Markets

19 words · 0 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
China / Chinese No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Bar / Exam No–new new word, no probability yet–
Border No–new new word, no probability yet–
Lawyer No–new new word, no probability yet–
Pepperdine No–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No44%n=2 from settlement history–
Deport / Deportation No–new new word, no probability yet–
Karoline / Leavitt No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 3+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Fraud No40%n=3 from settlement history–
Midterm / Election No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Biden No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Corrupt / Corruption No35%n=2 from settlement history–
Democrat No34%n=2 from settlement history–
Inflation No–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran / Iranian No–new new word, no probability yet–
Stock Market No–new new word, no probability yet–
America First No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

counts and timings only

Captions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

None of the listed words was said under the market rules.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/saturday-in-america:2026-10-17:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=saturday-in-america:2026-10-17:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP