Will “Democrat” be said on Saturday in America next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Democrat” was said on Saturday in America in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Saturday in America
Democrat
- Probability
- 44% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 12 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Democrat” said on Saturday in America?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Democrat” was said on Saturday in America in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “Democrat” is said on Saturday in America next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday in America: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/saturday-in-america/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-in-america&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-in-america&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP