Will “Trump” be said on Saturday in America next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Trump” was said on Saturday in America in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 29, 2026 – Oct 17, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Saturday in America
Trump
- Probability
- 54% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
4 counted; 13 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 14 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Trump” said on Saturday in America?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Trump” was said on Saturday in America in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump” is said on Saturday in America next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday in America: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/saturday-in-america/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-in-america&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-in-america&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP