Will “Fraud” be said on Saturday in America next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Fraud” was said on Saturday in America in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 29, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Saturday in America
Fraud
- Probability
- 41% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 18 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Fraud” said on Saturday in America?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Fraud” was said on Saturday in America in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 29, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 12, 2026.
- What is the probability “Fraud” is said on Saturday in America next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday in America: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/saturday-in-america/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-in-america&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-in-america&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP