Will “Shutdown / Shut Down” be said on Hannity next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Shutdown / Shut Down” was not said on Hannity in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 12, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Oct 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, the host).
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- the host
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Hannity
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: the host
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Shutdown / Shut Down” said on Hannity?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Shutdown / Shut Down” was not said on Hannity in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 12, 2026.
- What is the probability “Shutdown / Shut Down” is said on Hannity next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hannity: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/hannity/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hannity&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hannity&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP