Hannity: Episode, Mar 12, 2026
Kalshi What will Sean Hannity say during his show?
Markets
16 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: the host
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ID / Identification | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kamala / Harris | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Massie | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-HANN26MAR11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP