Hannity: Episode, May 21, 2026

Thu, May 21EpisodeHistory onlyHannity

Updated

Markets

16 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Hormuz Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Zohran / Mamdani Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Border Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
FBI / DOJ Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Israel / Israeli Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Ballroom No–new new word, no probability yet–
Biden No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ceasefire No–new new word, no probability yet–
China / Chinese No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ebola No–new new word, no probability yet–
Minnesota / Minneapolis No–new new word, no probability yet–
Radical Left No–new new word, no probability yet–
Warsh No–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Corrupt / Corruption No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHANNITYMENTION-26MAY21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP