Hannity
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 75 word markets on Hannity since 2026, on 54 different words.
History Wall
1–40 of 56, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Mar 12episode | May 19episode | May 21episode | Jul 20episode | Jul 28episode | Oct 15latest | Last 6 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border | Not listed: Border, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Border, May 19 episode | Said: Border, May 21 episode | Not listed: Border, Jul 20 episode | Not said: Border, Jul 28 episode | 1 time: Border, Oct 15 episode, counts as said | 2/367% | 2/367% | 40%n=3 from settlement history |
| China / Chinese | Not listed: China / Chinese, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, May 19 episode | Not said: China / Chinese, May 21 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jul 20 episode | Not said: China / Chinese, Jul 28 episode | 4 times: China / Chinese, Oct 15 episode, counts as said | 1/333% | 1/333% | 39%n=3 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not said: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 19 episode | Not said: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 21 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 20 episode | Not said: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Oct 15 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 29%n=3 from settlement history |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 19 episode | Not said: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 21 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 20 episode | Not said: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 15 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 26%n=3 from settlement history |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, May 19 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, May 21 episode | Not said: Iran / Iranian, Jul 20 episode | Not said: Iran / Iranian, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: Iran / Iranian, Oct 15 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | 25%n=3 from settlement history |
| Hormuz | Said: Hormuz, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, May 19 episode | Said: Hormuz, May 21 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Oct 15 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 33%n=2 from settlement history |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Said: Zohran / Mamdani, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, May 19 episode | Said: Zohran / Mamdani, May 21 episode | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Oct 15 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 33%n=2 from settlement history |
| Ceasefire | Not listed: Ceasefire, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, May 19 episode | Not said: Ceasefire, May 21 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jul 20 episode | Said: Ceasefire, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Oct 15 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Israel / Israeli | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, May 19 episode | Said: Israel / Israeli, May 21 episode | Not said: Israel / Israeli, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Oct 15 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 31%n=2 from settlement history |
| Trump5+ times | Said: Trump (5+ times), Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), May 19 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), May 21 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jul 28 episode | 3 times: Trump (5+ times), Oct 15 episode, below the threshold | 1/250% | 1/250% | 28%n=2 from settlement history |
| America First | Not listed: America First, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: America First, May 19 episode | Not listed: America First, May 21 episode | Not said: America First, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: America First, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: America First, Oct 15 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 26%n=2 from settlement history |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not said: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, May 19 episode | Not said: Corrupt / Corruption, May 21 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Oct 15 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 31%n=2 from settlement history |
| Democrat | Not listed: Democrat, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Democrat, May 19 episode | Not listed: Democrat, May 21 episode | Not said: Democrat, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: Democrat, Oct 15 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 26%n=2 from settlement history |
| SAVE America Act / SAVE Act | Not listed: SAVE America Act / SAVE Act, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: SAVE America Act / SAVE Act, May 19 episode | Not listed: SAVE America Act / SAVE Act, May 21 episode | Not said: SAVE America Act / SAVE Act, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: SAVE America Act / SAVE Act, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: SAVE America Act / SAVE Act, Oct 15 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 26%n=2 from settlement history |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | Said: Ayatollah / Khamenei, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Ayatollah / Khamenei, May 19 episode | Not listed: Ayatollah / Khamenei, May 21 episode | Not listed: Ayatollah / Khamenei, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Ayatollah / Khamenei, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Ayatollah / Khamenei, Oct 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bar / Exam | Not listed: Bar / Exam, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Bar / Exam, May 19 episode | Not listed: Bar / Exam, May 21 episode | Not listed: Bar / Exam, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Bar / Exam, Jul 28 episode | 3 times: Bar / Exam, Oct 15 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| FBI / DOJ | Not listed: FBI / DOJ, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: FBI / DOJ, May 19 episode | Said: FBI / DOJ, May 21 episode | Not listed: FBI / DOJ, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: FBI / DOJ, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: FBI / DOJ, Oct 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Drone | Not listed: Drone, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Drone, May 19 episode | Not listed: Drone, May 21 episode | Not listed: Drone, Jul 20 episode | Said: Drone, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Drone, Oct 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Lawyer | Not listed: Lawyer, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Lawyer, May 19 episode | Not listed: Lawyer, May 21 episode | Not listed: Lawyer, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Lawyer, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: Lawyer, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| NATO | Not listed: NATO, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: NATO, May 19 episode | Not listed: NATO, May 21 episode | Not listed: NATO, Jul 20 episode | Said: NATO, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: NATO, Oct 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | Said: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, May 19 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, May 21 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Oct 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Oil | Said: Oil, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Oil, May 19 episode | Not listed: Oil, May 21 episode | Not listed: Oil, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Oil, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Oil, Oct 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Pepperdine | Not listed: Pepperdine, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Pepperdine, May 19 episode | Not listed: Pepperdine, May 21 episode | Not listed: Pepperdine, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Pepperdine, Jul 28 episode | 2 times: Pepperdine, Oct 15 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Putin | Not listed: Putin, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Putin, May 19 episode | Not listed: Putin, May 21 episode | Not listed: Putin, Jul 20 episode | Said: Putin, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Putin, Oct 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump3+ times | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), May 19 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), May 21 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jul 20 episode | Said: Trump (3+ times), Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Oct 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 19 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 21 episode | Not said: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Air Force / Military | Not listed: Air Force / Military, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Air Force / Military, May 19 episode | Not listed: Air Force / Military, May 21 episode | Not said: Air Force / Military, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Air Force / Military, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Air Force / Military, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ballroom | Not listed: Ballroom, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, May 19 episode | Not said: Ballroom, May 21 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Biden | Not listed: Biden, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Biden, May 19 episode | Not said: Biden, May 21 episode | Not listed: Biden, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Biden, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Biden, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Diesel | Not listed: Diesel, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Diesel, May 19 episode | Not listed: Diesel, May 21 episode | Not listed: Diesel, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Diesel, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: Diesel, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ebola | Not listed: Ebola, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Ebola, May 19 episode | Not said: Ebola, May 21 episode | Not listed: Ebola, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Ebola, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Ebola, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Election, May 19 episode | Not listed: Election, May 21 episode | Not said: Election, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Election, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Election, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, May 19 episode | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, May 21 episode | Not said: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Epstein | Not said: Epstein, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Epstein, May 19 episode | Not listed: Epstein, May 21 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Fraud | Not said: Fraud, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Fraud, May 19 episode | Not listed: Fraud, May 21 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Kamala / Harris | Not said: Kamala / Harris, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Kamala / Harris, May 19 episode | Not listed: Kamala / Harris, May 21 episode | Not listed: Kamala / Harris, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Kamala / Harris, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: Kamala / Harris, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: ICE, May 19 episode | Not listed: ICE, May 21 episode | Not listed: ICE, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: ICE, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: ICE, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ID / Identification | Not said: ID / Identification, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, May 19 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, May 21 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, Jul 28 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Inflation | Not listed: Inflation, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Inflation, May 19 episode | Not listed: Inflation, May 21 episode | Not listed: Inflation, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Inflation, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: Inflation, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Kimmel / SNL | Not listed: Kimmel / SNL, Mar 12 episode | Not listed: Kimmel / SNL, May 19 episode | Not listed: Kimmel / SNL, May 21 episode | Not listed: Kimmel / SNL, Jul 20 episode | Not listed: Kimmel / SNL, Jul 28 episode | 0 times: Kimmel / SNL, Oct 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 6Our transcript counts matched how 18 of 19 settled words resolved (94.7%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Katie Zacharia say during Hannity? | Captions · machine-attributed | 20 | 5 yes · 15 no | 18/19 (95%) |
| Jul 28, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Zelenskyy say during Fox News: Hannity? | no transcript | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | – |
| Jul 20, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Darline Graham say during Fox News: Hannity? | no transcript | 12 | 0 yes · 12 no | – |
| May 21, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Sean Hannity say during his show? | no transcript | 16 | 5 yes · 11 no | – |
| May 19, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Dr. Oz say during Fox News: Hannity? | no transcript | 13 | 1 yes · 12 no | – |
| Mar 12, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Sean Hannity say during his show? | no transcript | 16 | 6 yes · 10 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Hannity: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/hannity (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/hannity · words: /api/v1/history?entity=hannity · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP