Will “Ceasefire” be said on Hannity next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ceasefire” was said on Hannity in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
34%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Hannity
Ceasefire
- Probability
- 34% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Ceasefire” said on Hannity?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ceasefire” was said on Hannity in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ceasefire” is said on Hannity next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hannity: ‘Ceasefire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/hannity/words/ceasefire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hannity&word=ceasefire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hannity&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP