Fox News Sunday: Episode, Aug 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Ro Khanna say during Fox News Sunday?
Markets
12 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 17%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 16%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 11%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| SAVE Act / Save America Act | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 24%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 23%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 20%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 14%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFNSMENTION-26AUG02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP