Fareed Zakaria GPS
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 54 word markets on Fareed Zakaria GPS since 2025, on 31 different words.
History Wall
1–31 of 31, most settled first| Word | Nov 17 ’25episode | Nov 24episode | Dec 1episode | Dec 8latest | Last 4 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | Settled yes: China, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: China, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: China, Dec 1 episode | Settled yes: China, Dec 8 episode | 2/450% | 2/450% | 34%n=4 from settlement history |
| Epstein | Settled yes: Epstein, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Epstein, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Dec 1 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Dec 8 episode | 2/450% | 2/450% | 34%n=4 from settlement history |
| Healthcare | Settled yes: Healthcare, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Healthcare, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Healthcare, Dec 1 episode | Settled no: Healthcare, Dec 8 episode | 2/450% | 2/450% | 34%n=4 from settlement history |
| Ukraine | Settled no: Ukraine, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Ukraine, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Ukraine, Dec 1 episode | Settled yes: Ukraine, Dec 8 episode | 2/450% | 2/450% | 34%n=4 from settlement history |
| Supreme Court | Settled no: Supreme Court, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: Supreme Court, Nov 24 episode | Settled yes: Supreme Court, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Supreme Court, Dec 8 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | 34%n=3 from settlement history |
| Bubble | Not listed: Bubble, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Bubble, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Bubble, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Bubble, Dec 8 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Democracy | Settled no: Democracy, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Dec 1 episode | Settled yes: Democracy, Dec 8 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Dec 1 episode | Settled yes: Immigrant / Immigration, Dec 8 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Maduro | Not listed: Maduro, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Maduro, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Maduro, Dec 1 episode | Settled yes: Maduro, Dec 8 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Tariff | Settled no: Tariff, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Dec 1 episode | Settled yes: Tariff, Dec 8 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Not listed: Email, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: Email, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Email, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Email, Dec 8 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 34%n=2 from settlement history | |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: ICE, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: ICE, Dec 1 episode | Settled no: ICE, Dec 8 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Schumer | Settled no: Schumer, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: Schumer, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Schumer, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Schumer, Dec 8 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Socialism / Socialist | Not listed: Socialism / Socialist, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Socialism / Socialist, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Socialism / Socialist, Dec 1 episode | Settled no: Socialism / Socialist, Dec 8 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 34%n=2 from settlement history |
| Drug / Cartel | Not listed: Drug / Cartel, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Drug / Cartel, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Drug / Cartel, Dec 1 episode | Settled yes: Drug / Cartel, Dec 8 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| New York / Mayor | Not listed: New York / Mayor, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: New York / Mayor, Nov 24 episode | Settled yes: New York / Mayor, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: New York / Mayor, Dec 8 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Settled yes: Trump, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Trump, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Trump, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Trump, Dec 8 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI Bubble / Dot-Com | Settled no: AI Bubble / Dot-Com, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: AI Bubble / Dot-Com, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: AI Bubble / Dot-Com, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: AI Bubble / Dot-Com, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Settled no: Crypto / Bitcoin, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| California | Not listed: California, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: California, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: California, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: California, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Christian | Not listed: Christian, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: Christian, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Christian, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Christian, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Climate Change | Not listed: Climate Change, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: Climate Change, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Climate Change, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Climate Change, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | Settled no: SNAP / Food Stamp, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: SNAP / Food Stamp, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Israel | Not listed: Israel, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Israel, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Israel, Dec 1 episode | Settled no: Israel, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Jamal Khashoggi | Not listed: Jamal Khashoggi, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: Jamal Khashoggi, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Jamal Khashoggi, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Jamal Khashoggi, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Rare Earth / Mineral, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Rare Earth / Mineral, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Piggy | Not listed: Piggy, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: Piggy, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: Piggy, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Piggy, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Sedition | Not listed: Sedition, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Sedition, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Sedition, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Sedition, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| South Africa | Not listed: South Africa, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Settled no: South Africa, Nov 24 episode | Not listed: South Africa, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: South Africa, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Taiwan | Not listed: Taiwan, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Taiwan, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Taiwan, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Taiwan, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Turkey | Not listed: Turkey, Nov 17 ’25 episode | Not listed: Turkey, Nov 24 episode | Settled no: Turkey, Dec 1 episode | Not listed: Turkey, Dec 8 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 4Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Fareed Zakaria say during his show? | no transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | – |
| Dec 1, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Fareed Zakaria say during his show? | no transcript | 16 | 2 yes · 14 no | – |
| Nov 24, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Fareed Zakaria say during his show? | no transcript | 14 | 4 yes · 10 no | – |
| Nov 17, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Fareed Zakaria say during his show? | no transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Fareed Zakaria GPS: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fareed-zakaria-gps (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/fareed-zakaria-gps · words: /api/v1/history?entity=fareed-zakaria-gps · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP