Fareed Zakaria GPS: Episode, Nov 24, 2025

Mon, Nov 24EpisodeHistory onlyFareed Zakaria GPS

Updated

Markets

14 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Epstein Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Healthcare Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Bubble Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Ukraine Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
China No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
California No–new new word, no probability yet–
Christian No–new new word, no probability yet–
Climate Change No–new new word, no probability yet–
Email No–new new word, no probability yet–
Jamal Khashoggi No–new new word, no probability yet–
Piggy No–new new word, no probability yet–
South Africa No–new new word, no probability yet–
Schumer No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Supreme Court No–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXZAKARIAMENTION-25NOV24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP