Fareed Zakaria GPS: Episode, Nov 17, 2025

Mon, Nov 17EpisodeHistory onlyFareed Zakaria GPS

Updated

Markets

12 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
China Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Healthcare Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
AI Bubble / Dot-Com No–new new word, no probability yet–
Crypto / Bitcoin No–new new word, no probability yet–
Democracy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Schumer No–new new word, no probability yet–
SNAP / Food Stamp No–new new word, no probability yet–
Supreme Court No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff No–new new word, no probability yet–
Ukraine No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXZAKARIAMENTION-25NOV17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP