Fareed Zakaria GPS: Episode, Dec 1, 2025
Kalshi What will Fareed Zakaria say during his show?
Markets
16 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York / Mayor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 22%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | No | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bubble | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sedition | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialism / Socialist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taiwan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Turkey | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXZAKARIAMENTION-25DEC01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP