Will “Fraud” be said on All In next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fraud” was said on All In in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 19, 2026.
Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All In with Chris Hayes
Fraud
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 7 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Fraud |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Fraud” said on All In?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fraud” was said on All In in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “Fraud” is said on All In next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP