Oscars: Awards show, Mar 15, 2026
Polymarket What will be said during the Oscars?
Markets
31 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alien | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ballet | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Leo | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mom | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netflix | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Opera | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palestine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| President | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| White House | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Will Smith / Punch | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Anthropic / Claude | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chalamet 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Charlie Kirk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dream Big | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ellison | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greenland | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hottest | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ice Out / Fuck Ice | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kylie | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Middle East | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Polymarket | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sex | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shame | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zionist / Zionism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-oscars · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP