NIO (NIO)

EarningsTranscriptsUpdated Oct 23, 2026, 22:21 UTC

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 15 word markets on NIO’s earnings calls since 2025, on 15 different words.

History Wall

1–15 of 15, most settled first

NIO: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Q3’24Nov '24	Q4’24Mar '25	Q1’25Jun '25	Q2’25Sep '25	Q3’25Nov '25	Q4’25Mar '26	Q1’26May '26	Q2’26last call	Trend	Last 8	Scripted	All-time	Probability
Backlog	1 time: Backlog, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said	1 time: Backlog, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said	0 times: Backlog, Q1’25 Jun '25	2 times: Backlog, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	3 times: Backlog, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	1 time: Backlog, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	1 time: Backlog, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	0 times: Backlog, Q2’26 Sep '26	steady	6/875%	0/80%	18/3256%	61%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Battery swap	0 times: Battery swap, Q3’24 Nov '24	3 times: Battery swap, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said	1 time: Battery swap, Q1’25 Jun '25, counts as said	1 time: Battery swap, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	1 time: Battery swap, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	0 times: Battery swap, Q4’25 Mar '26	1 time: Battery swap, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	1 time: Battery swap, Q2’26 Sep '26, counts as said	falling	6/875%	4/850%	21/3266%	62%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Chip	1 time: Chip, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said	8 times: Chip, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said	5 times: Chip, Q1’25 Jun '25, counts as said	16 times: Chip, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	15 times: Chip, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	23 times: Chip, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	15 times: Chip, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	5 times: Chip, Q2’26 Sep '26, counts as said	rising	8/8100%	7/888%	19/3259%	96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Deliveryevery call	19 times: Delivery, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said	10 times: Delivery, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said	22 times: Delivery, Q1’25 Jun '25, counts as said	19 times: Delivery, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	15 times: Delivery, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	9 times: Delivery, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	14 times: Delivery, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	11 times: Delivery, Q2’26 Sep '26, counts as said	falling	8/8100%	8/8100%	32/32100%	95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
ES6	0 times: ES6, Q3’24 Nov '24	1 time: ES6, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said	9 times: ES6, Q1’25 Jun '25, counts as said	6 times: ES6, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	2 times: ES6, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	4 times: ES6, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	2 times: ES6, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	0 times: ES6, Q2’26 Sep '26	steady	6/875%	6/875%	28/3288%	68%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
ET5	0 times: ET5, Q3’24 Nov '24	1 time: ET5, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said	8 times: ET5, Q1’25 Jun '25, counts as said	4 times: ET5, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	1 time: ET5, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	4 times: ET5, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	2 times: ET5, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	0 times: ET5, Q2’26 Sep '26	steady	6/875%	5/862%	16/3250%	66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Gross marginevery call	5 times: Gross margin, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said	5 times: Gross margin, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said	12 times: Gross margin, Q1’25 Jun '25, counts as said	12 times: Gross margin, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	17 times: Gross margin, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	15 times: Gross margin, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	3 times: Gross margin, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	6 times: Gross margin, Q2’26 Sep '26, counts as said	steady	8/8100%	8/8100%	32/32100%	94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
NIO Day	2 times: NIO Day, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said	1 time: NIO Day, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said	0 times: NIO Day, Q1’25 Jun '25	1 time: NIO Day, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	1 time: NIO Day, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	0 times: NIO Day, Q4’25 Mar '26	0 times: NIO Day, Q1’26 May '26	0 times: NIO Day, Q2’26 Sep '26	falling	4/850%	4/850%	20/3262%	38%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Supply chain	4 times: Supply chain, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said	5 times: Supply chain, Q4’24 Mar '25, counts as said	3 times: Supply chain, Q1’25 Jun '25, counts as said	9 times: Supply chain, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	3 times: Supply chain, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	2 times: Supply chain, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	8 times: Supply chain, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	4 times: Supply chain, Q2’26 Sep '26, counts as said	steady	8/8100%	5/862%	30/3294%	89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Autonomous	0 times: Autonomous, Q3’24 Nov '24	0 times: Autonomous, Q4’24 Mar '25	0 times: Autonomous, Q1’25 Jun '25	0 times: Autonomous, Q2’25 Sep '25	0 times: Autonomous, Q3’25 Nov '25	2 times: Autonomous, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	1 time: Autonomous, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	1 time: Autonomous, Q2’26 Sep '26, counts as said	rising	3/838%	1/812%	18/3256%	50%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Battery-as-a-Service	1 time: Battery-as-a-Service, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said	0 times: Battery-as-a-Service, Q4’24 Mar '25	0 times: Battery-as-a-Service, Q1’25 Jun '25	0 times: Battery-as-a-Service, Q2’25 Sep '25	0 times: Battery-as-a-Service, Q3’25 Nov '25	1 time: Battery-as-a-Service, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	0 times: Battery-as-a-Service, Q1’26 May '26	1 time: Battery-as-a-Service, Q2’26 Sep '26, counts as said	steady	3/838%	0/80%	14/3244%	42%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Digital cockpit	0 times: Digital cockpit, Q3’24 Nov '24	0 times: Digital cockpit, Q4’24 Mar '25	0 times: Digital cockpit, Q1’25 Jun '25	0 times: Digital cockpit, Q2’25 Sep '25	0 times: Digital cockpit, Q3’25 Nov '25	0 times: Digital cockpit, Q4’25 Mar '26	0 times: Digital cockpit, Q1’26 May '26	0 times: Digital cockpit, Q2’26 Sep '26	steady	0/80%	0/80%	3/329%	14%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
ES8	0 times: ES8, Q3’24 Nov '24	0 times: ES8, Q4’24 Mar '25	2 times: ES8, Q1’25 Jun '25, counts as said	27 times: ES8, Q2’25 Sep '25, counts as said	16 times: ES8, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	15 times: ES8, Q4’25 Mar '26, counts as said	22 times: ES8, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said	7 times: ES8, Q2’26 Sep '26, counts as said	rising	6/875%	5/862%	28/3288%	91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Europe	4 times: Europe, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said	0 times: Europe, Q4’24 Mar '25	2 times: Europe, Q1’25 Jun '25, counts as said	0 times: Europe, Q2’25 Sep '25	3 times: Europe, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	0 times: Europe, Q4’25 Mar '26	0 times: Europe, Q1’26 May '26	0 times: Europe, Q2’26 Sep '26	falling	3/838%	2/825%	16/3250%	38%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Subsidy	8 times: Subsidy, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said	0 times: Subsidy, Q4’24 Mar '25	0 times: Subsidy, Q1’25 Jun '25	0 times: Subsidy, Q2’25 Sep '25	6 times: Subsidy, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said	0 times: Subsidy, Q4’25 Mar '26	0 times: Subsidy, Q1’26 May '26	0 times: Subsidy, Q2’26 Sep '26	falling	2/825%	0/80%	16/3250%	45%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts

• times said on that call
• counted as said (ring)
• no call
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Trend

how the count moved over these calls

Scripted

calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks

All-time

every call on file

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “NIO (NIO): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NIO (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/nio · words: /api/v1/history?entity=nio · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP