Will NIO say “ES6”?
NIO did not say “ES6” on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 9, 6, 2, 4, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NIO said “ES6” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NIO
ES6
- Probability
- 68% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…five consecutive months, regardless of powertrain type. In early April, the 2026 ES6, EC6, ET5 and ET5T were launched and delivered, further addressing evolving user…
…phase of development, where we are going to upgrade our ET5, ET5T, ES6 and EC6 also to the latest technology platform and digital architecture, while…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
蔚来品牌方面，全新ES8自2025年9月底开启交付以来，历时仅160天，便达成第7万台新车交付里程碑，刷新40万元以上车型单月交付量纪录。二季度，我们将推出科技行政SUV旗舰ES9。作为未来十一年技术和体验的集大成之作，ES9将搭载多项行业领先的核心技术，为用户带来豪华行政级的出行体验。同时，2026款ET5、ET5T、ES6、EC6也将于二季度陆续上市。蔚来品牌将持续完善在高端纯电市场的产…
…a luxurious executive mobility experience for users. In addition, the ET5, ET5T, ES6 and EC6 will introduce the 2026 versions in Q2. Overall, the NIO…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…days, the fastest for a price above 400,000 RMB. In November, the ES6, another all-around SUV in NIO's lineup, celebrated its 300,000 unit delivery milestone,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | ES6 |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did NIO say “ES6” on its last earnings call?
- NIO did not say “ES6” on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 9, 6, 2, 4, 2, 0 times.
- How often does NIO say “ES6”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NIO said “ES6” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 21, 2025.
- What is the probability NIO says “ES6” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers.
Cite parrot.markets, “NIO: ‘ES6’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NIO/words/es6 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nio&word=es6 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP