Will NIO say “ES8”?
NIO said “ES8” 7 times on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 27, 16, 15, 22, 7 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NIO did not say “ES8” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 91% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NIO
ES8
- Probability
- 91% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…user needs and scenarios with its five-seat layout and spacious interior. The ES8 has maintained strong momentum since launch and achieved the 140,000 units delivery…
Thank you for the question. Regarding NIO's flagship models, including the ES8 and ES9, they will continue to see strong demand. For the ES8, in…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
22 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 20 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…the NIO brand, since delivery began in late September 2025, the all-new ES8 reached its 100,000th delivery milestone in just 215 days, setting a new…
…ES9 diluting or cannibalizing the focus or even the attention to the ES8. Instead, it is generating positive impact on the attention and the order…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
15 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 13 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
蔚来品牌方面，全新ES8自2025年9月底开启交付以来，历时仅160天，便达成第7万台新车交付里程碑，刷新40万元以上车型单月交付量纪录。二季度，我们将推出科技行政SUV旗舰ES9。作为未来十一年技术和体验的集大成之作，ES9将搭载多项行业领先的核心技术，为用户带来豪华行政级的出行体验。同时，2026款ET5、ET5T、ES6、EC6也将于二季度陆续上市。蔚来品牌将持续完善在高端纯电市场的产…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | ES8 |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did NIO say “ES8” on its last earnings call?
- NIO said “ES8” 7 times on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 27, 16, 15, 22, 7 times.
- How often does NIO say “ES8”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NIO did not say “ES8” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 21, 2025.
- What is the probability NIO says “ES8” next time?
- 91%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers.
Cite parrot.markets, “NIO: ‘ES8’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NIO/words/es8 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nio&word=es8 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP