Will NIO say “Backlog”?

NIO did not say “Backlog” on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 2, 3, 1, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NIO said “Backlog” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

61%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NIO

Backlog

Probability
61% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Sep 1, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 21, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Speaker 11companyqaIn transcript

…the ES8 launch last year. As we have been digesting the order backlogs on the ES8, we have also maintained a pretty stable and strong…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 10, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Speaker 11companyqaIn transcript

…as in Q4 last year. In Q1, there were seasonality factors as well as the policy impacts. Overall speaking, we still have ES8 order backlogs.

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 25, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

William LicompanyqaIn transcript

…be further reduced for the new products like the ES8 with order backlog that will continue towards the next year. Car companies, including NIO, provide…

William LicompanyqaIn transcript

…our high-margin products like the all-new ES8. We still have ample order backlog and also new order intake for that product. So overall speaking, the…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Sep 2, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jun 3, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 21, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 20, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 21, 2025BacklogKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did NIO say “Backlog” on its last earnings call?
NIO did not say “Backlog” on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 2, 3, 1, 1, 0 times.
How often does NIO say “Backlog”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NIO said “Backlog” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 21, 2025.
What is the probability NIO says “Backlog” next time?
61%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “NIO: ‘Backlog’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NIO/words/backlog (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nio&word=backlog · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP