Will NIO say “Subsidy”?
NIO did not say “Subsidy” on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 8, 0, 0, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NIO did not say “Subsidy” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NIO
Subsidy
- Probability
- 45% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).
…coming from the phase-out and the termination of the trade-in and replacement subsidies since October. But this is actually the challenge faced by the entire…
…company is going to provide the guarantee for the trade-in and replacement subsidy. In that case, the overall market demand has been affected because of…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 8 in Q&A).
…to some of your expectations and we also understand that on the subsidy side by the end of this year some local subsidies and also…
…up by the end of this year and that will affect their subsidy. In that case we have also looked at the users who eventually…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Subsidy |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did NIO say “Subsidy” on its last earnings call?
- NIO did not say “Subsidy” on its Sep 1, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 8, 0, 0, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does NIO say “Subsidy”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NIO did not say “Subsidy” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 21, 2025.
- What is the probability NIO says “Subsidy” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers.
Cite parrot.markets, “NIO: ‘Subsidy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NIO/words/subsidy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nio&word=subsidy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nio&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP