# Pete Hegseth (pete-hegseth) · interview 2024-12-06 · 15 words · P p:what-will-hegseth-saying-during-fox-interview · as_of 2026-10-25T05:47:06Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2024-12-06 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v P, p_src prior, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-hegseth-saying-during-fox-interview (every P row; the listed term = w): This is a market on predicting what Hegseth will say during his interview on Fox.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p
Affair	affair	1	0	0		0.33
Alcohol	alcohol	1	0	0		0.33
Assault	assault	1	0	0		0.33
Crypto/Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	0	0		0.33
Divorce	divorce	1	0	0		0.33
Drunk	drunk	1	0	0		0.33
Fake news	fake new	1	0	0		0.33
Lie	lie	1	0	0		0.33
Racist/Racism	racism|racist	1	0	0		0.33
Sex	sex	1	0	0		0.33
Trump 10+ times	trump#10	10	0	0		0.33
Trump 5+ times	trump#5	5	0	0		0.33
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0		0.33
Witch hunt	witch hunt	1	0	0		0.33
Woman/Women 5+ times	woman|women#5	5	0	0		0.33