# Volodymyr Zelenskyy (volodymyr-zelenskyy) · speech 2025-09-24 · 20 words · K k:KXZELENSKYYMENTION-25SEP24 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:18:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-09-24 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXZELENSKYYMENTION-25SEP24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Volodymyr Zelenskyy says {word} as part of Address to the United Nations General Assembly on September 24th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Putin	putin	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	yes
Crimea	crimea	1	0	0	n	0.43	hist	no
Donbas	donba	1	0	0	n	0.43	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Distract / Distraction	distract|distraction	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Drone	drone	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Eliminate	eliminate	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Fund / Funding	fund|funding	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Future	future	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Mineral	mineral	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Missile	missile	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Mission	mission	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Nobel	nobel	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Peace Deal / Peace Treaty	peace deal|peace treaty	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Rise	rise	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Soldier	soldier	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Truce	truce	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Trump	trump	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Unity	unity	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Woke	woke	0	0			0.45	prior	no