# United Nations (united-nations) · speech 2026-01-13 · 11 words · K k:KXUNMENTION-26JAN13 · as_of 2026-10-26T05:56:04Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-13 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXUNMENTION-26JAN13 ({word} = w of K rows): If United States representative(s) says {word} as part of Maintenance of peace and security of Ukraine - Security Council, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Ceasefire	ceasefire	0	0		0.44	no
China	china	0	0		0.44	no
Drone	drone	0	0		0.44	no
Kyiv / Kiev	kiev|kyiv	0	0		0.44	yes
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	0	0		0.44	no
Missile / Tomahawk	missile|tomahawk	0	0		0.44	yes
NATO / Allies	ally|nato	0	0		0.44	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0		0.44	yes
Putin	putin	0	0		0.44	no
Russia	russia	0	0		0.44	yes
Trump	trump	0	0		0.44	yes