# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-03-08 · 8 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAR08 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:02:44Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-08 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAR08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Ryan Gosling says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live opening monologue, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Olympic / Olympics	olympic	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	no
Mayor / Mamdani	mamdani|mayor	0	0			0.34	hist	no
Canada / Canadian	canada|canadian	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
New York City	new york city	11	2	0.18	nnYnYnnnnn	0.18	hist	yes
Trump	trump	15	5	0.33	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
Barbie / Ken	barbie|ken	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Papyrus	papyrus	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Project Hail Mary	project hail mary	0	0			0.27	prior	yes