# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-02-01 · 11 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26FEB01 · as_of 2026-10-24T06:14:46Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-01 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26FEB01 ({word} = w of K rows): If Alexander Skarsgård says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live opening monologue, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
New York City	new york city	9	2	0.22	nnnYnYnnn	0.23	hist	no
Comedy / Comedian	comedian|comedy	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	no
Trump	trump	13	5	0.38	YYYnnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
First Time / First Timer	first time|first timer	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Cardi B	cardi b	0	0			0.27	prior	yes
Nicki Minaj	nicki minaj	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Pillion	pillion	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Tarzan	tarzan	0	0			0.27	prior	no
True Blood	true blood	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Vampire	vampire	0	0			0.27	prior	no
Zoolander	zoolander	0	0			0.27	prior	no