# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-04-04 · 10 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26APR04 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:34:59Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-04 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26APR04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jack Black says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live opening monologue, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
New York City	new york city	12	3	0.25	nYnYnnnnnY	0.31	hist
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist
Mayor / Mamdani	mamdani|mayor	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist
Trump	trump	16	5	0.31	nnnnnnnnnn	0.16	hist
Bowser	bowser	0	0			0.27	prior
Chicken Jockey	chicken jockey	0	0			0.27	prior
Mario	mario	0	0			0.27	prior
Minecraft	minecraft	0	0			0.27	prior
Panda	panda	0	0			0.27	prior
School of Rock	school of rock	0	0			0.27	prior