# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2025-10-11 · 12 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-25OCT11 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:47:35Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-11 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-25OCT11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Amy Poehler says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live starting on October 11th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Nervous	nervous	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	yes
Alone	alone	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Comedy	comedy	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Fun	fun	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Linda Richman	linda richman	0	0			0.28	prior	no
New York City	new york city	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Pressure	pressure	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Third	third	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Tina / Fey	fey|tina	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Woke	woke	0	0			0.28	prior	no