Joe Manchin: Interview, Mar 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Joe Manchin say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
10 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Filibuster | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hormuz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SAVE Act / SAVE America | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-MANC26MAR14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP