# Melania Trump (melania-trump) · remarks 2025-10-11 · 16 words · K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-25OCT11 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:56:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-11 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-25OCT11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Melania Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on October 10th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0		0.36	no
Amazon	amazon	0	0		0.36	no
Barron	barron	0	0		0.36	no
Blockchain	blockchain	0	0		0.36	no
Ceasefire / Cease Fire	cease fire|ceasefire	0	0		0.36	no
Children	children	0	0		0.36	yes
Christmas	christma	0	0		0.36	no
Documentary	documentary	0	0		0.36	no
Donald	donald	0	0		0.36	no
Education	education	0	0		0.36	no
Future	future	0	0		0.36	yes
Mother	mother	0	0		0.36	no
Nobel Peace Prize	nobel peace prize	0	0		0.36	no
Robot / Robotic	robot|robotic	0	0		0.36	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		0.36	no
Technology	technology	0	0		0.36	no