Real Time with Bill Maher: Episode, Oct 18, 2025
Kalshi What will Bill Maher say during Real Time with Bill Maher?
Markets
10 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1929 | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cost Plus Drug | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Great Depression | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netflix | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Retire / Retirement | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMAHERMENTION-25OCT18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP