Will “Trump” be said 3+ times on Real Time next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Real Time in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 18, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 18, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Real Time with Bill Maher
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Real Time with Bill Maher yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Trump (3+ times)” said on Real Time?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on Real Time in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 18, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 18, 2025.
- What is the probability “Trump (3+ times)” is said on Real Time next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Real Time: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/real-time-with-bill-maher/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=real-time-with-bill-maher&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=real-time-with-bill-maher&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP