Will “Retire / Retirement” be said on Real Time next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Retire / Retirement” was not said on Real Time in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 18, 2025.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- the host
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Real Time with Bill Maher
Retire / Retirement
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: the host
We don’t have transcripts for Real Time with Bill Maher yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Retire / Retirement |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Retire / Retirement” said on Real Time?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Retire / Retirement” was not said on Real Time in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 18, 2025.
- What is the probability “Retire / Retirement” is said on Real Time next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “Real Time: ‘Retire / Retirement’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/real-time-with-bill-maher/words/retire-or-retirement (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=real-time-with-bill-maher&word=retire%20%2F%20retirement · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=real-time-with-bill-maher&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP