# The Rachel Maddow Show (the-rachel-maddow-show) · tv_episode 2026-02-17 · 15 words · K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26FEB17 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:31:34Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-02-17 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMADDOWMENTION-26FEB17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of The Rachel Maddow Show, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Election	election	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	0	0			0.27	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	no
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	2	0	0	nn	0.25	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
FBI	fbi	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Fraud	fraud	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Frey / Walz	frey|walz	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Invade / Invading / Invasion	invade|invading|invasion	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Obama	obama	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Prison / Prisoner	prison|prisoner	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Warrant	warrant	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
