# The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon) · tv_episode 2026-01-20 · 9 words · K k:KXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JAN20 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:01:18Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-20 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JAN20 ({word} = w of K rows): If A$AP Rocky says {word} as part of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Knicks	knick	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
New York / Harlem	harlem|new york	0	0			0.42	hist	yes
Rap / Rapper / Rapping	rap|rapper|rapping	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Album	album	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
Chanel	chanel	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Don't Be Dumb	don't be dumb	0	0			0.3	prior	no
Rihanna	rihanna	0	0			0.3	prior	yes
SNL / Saturday Night Live	saturday night live|snl	0	0			0.3	prior	no