Christine Lagarde: Press conference, Oct 31, 2025
Kalshi What will EU Central Bank President say during the Press Conference?
Markets
20 words · 13 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anchor / Anchored | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Balance Sheet | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Credit | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cut | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Expectation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Productivity | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Projection | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stablecoin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tightening | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| United States / America | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Volatility | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Covid | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Disinflationary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gold | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Good Day | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hike | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Recession | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXECBMENTION-25OCT31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP