Will Christine Lagarde say “Balance Sheet”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Christine Lagarde said “Balance Sheet” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2025.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Last said
Oct 30, 2025
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Christine Lagarde

Balance Sheet

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Christine Lagarde yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Christine Lagarde say on Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will EU Central Bank President say during the Press Conference? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 31, 2025Balance SheetKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Christine Lagarde say “Balance Sheet”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Christine Lagarde said “Balance Sheet” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2025.
What is the probability Christine Lagarde says “Balance Sheet” next time?
61%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Christine Lagarde: ‘Balance Sheet’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/christine-lagarde/words/balance-sheet (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=christine-lagarde&word=balance%20sheet · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=christine-lagarde&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP