Hunter Biden: Episode, May 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Hunter Biden say during the Candace Owens Show?
Markets
18 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Conspiracy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FBI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kamala | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Melania | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pardon / Pardoned | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Propaganda | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCANDACEMENTION-26MAY21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP