Will Hunter Biden say “Trump” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Hunter Biden said “Trump” 5+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Hunter Biden
Trump (5+ times)
- Probability
- 66% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Hunter Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 21, 2026 | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Hunter Biden say “Trump (5+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Hunter Biden said “Trump” 5+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Hunter Biden says “Trump (5+ times)” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hunter Biden: ‘Trump (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hunter-biden/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hunter-biden&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hunter-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP