Will Hunter Biden say “Pardon / Pardoned”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Hunter Biden said “Pardon / Pardoned” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Hunter Biden
Pardon / Pardoned
- Probability
- 55% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Hunter Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Pardon / Pardoned |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 21, 2026 | Pardon / Pardoned | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Hunter Biden say “Pardon / Pardoned”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Hunter Biden said “Pardon / Pardoned” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Hunter Biden says “Pardon / Pardoned” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Hunter Biden: ‘Pardon / Pardoned’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/hunter-biden/words/pardon-or-pardoned (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hunter-biden&word=pardon%20%2F%20pardoned · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hunter-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP