# Hunter Biden (hunter-biden) · tv_episode 2026-05-21 · 18 words · K k:KXCANDACEMENTION-26MAY21 · as_of 2026-10-27T04:29:05Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-21 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCANDACEMENTION-26MAY21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Hunter Biden says {word} as part of Candace Owens Show originally scheduled for May 21st , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	1	0	0		0.45	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0		0.45	yes
Conspiracy	conspiracy	1	0	0		0.45	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	0	0		0.45	yes
Election	election	1	0	0		0.45	yes
FBI	fbi	1	0	0		0.45	no
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0		0.45	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0		0.45	yes
Kamala	kamala	1	0	0		0.45	no
Melania	melania	1	0	0		0.45	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0		0.45	no
Pardon / Pardoned	pardon|pardoned	1	0	0		0.45	no
Propaganda	propaganda	1	0	0		0.45	no
Republican	republican	1	0	0		0.45	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	0	0		0.45	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	0	0		0.45	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0		0.45	yes
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	1	0	0		0.45	no