Will “Ballroom / Pool” be said on All In next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Ballroom / Pool” was not said on All In in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

36%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=ballroom%20%2F%20pool

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All In with Chris Hayes

Ballroom / Pool

Probability
36% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)
Last 7 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Farmers adotherAll In with Chris Hayes (MS NOW), October 6, 2026 · Oct 6, 2026 · 43:42In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

LeafFilterotherAll In with Chris Hayes (MS NOW), August 24, 2026 · Aug 24, 2026 · 31:27In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Jamie Raskin say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not said

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What will Abdul El-Sayed say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Andy Beshear say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not said

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Beto O'Rourke say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · settled no

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during All in with Chris Hayes? · settled no

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What will Mamdani say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 6, 2026Ballroom / PoolKalshiNo0
Sep 15, 2026Ballroom / PoolKalshiNo0
Aug 20, 2026Ballroom / PoolKalshiNo–
Jun 22, 2026Ballroom / PoolKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Ballroom / Pool” said on All In?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Ballroom / Pool” was not said on All In in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 22, 2026.
What is the probability “Ballroom / Pool” is said on All In next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Ballroom / Pool’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/ballroom-or-pool (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=ballroom%20%2F%20pool · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP