MrBeast (YouTube), October 17, 2026
On the Oct 17, 2026 episode of MrBeast, 3 of the 12 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 34 | 60 | ✓ | 63%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Challenge | Yes | 15 | 25 | ✓ | 61%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Dollar 10+ times | Yes | 14 | 23 | ✓ | 35%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Contestant | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Subscribe / Subscribes | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Huge | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Feastable / Feastables | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Insane | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 28%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Africa | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Sponsor / Sponsored | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Karl | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 4%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · MrBeast (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
25 matches for “Challenge”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…the work in, 'cuz we don't have that much time until the challenge. Cooking healthy meals together… BEEF! We got the veggies. And dreaming of…
…are on FIREee. Bruhh, this is gonna be REALLY hard. And realizing how hard this challenge would be was starting to make Sara feel overwhelmed.
…this moment, they've had each other to lean on for motivation, and I wanted to see if they could crush this next challenge as individuals.
wooOooOOOo!! This is Tre's mom's first time seeing him since before the challenge. Look how happy she is. *crying* mwah, mwAhH, mWAH! I missed you…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mrbeast:2026-10-17:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mrbeast:2026-10-17:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP