CarMax (KMX): FY27 Q2 earnings call, Sep 29, 2026

Tue, Sep 29Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCarMax

On its Sep 29, 2026 earnings call (FY27 Q2), CarMax said 10 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
GPU Yes1829✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
Inventory 3+ timesYes810✓77%transcripts from the transcript model–
Leverage Yes44✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
Conversion Yes48✓84%transcripts from the transcript model–
Selection Yes33✓72%transcripts from the transcript model–
Reconditioning 3+ timesYes33✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Logistics Yes22✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
Interest Rate Yes22✓42%transcripts from the transcript model–
Loan Loss Yes11✓76%transcripts from the transcript model–
Affordability Yes11✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Omnichannel No01✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Acquisition Marketing No00✓62%transcripts from the transcript model–
MaxCare / Max Care No00✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI Agent No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Sierra No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

8 matches for “Conversion”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Keith Barrcompanyprepared

…purchase process more clearly. The enhancements we made this quarter supported sales conversion, and we anticipate further gains over time. Our third pillar is add…

Craig Kennisonanalystqa

…question. Keith, I am wondering, could you provide examples of how you are taking friction out of the digital journey in order to impact conversion?

Joe Spakanalystqa

…provide any detail if you had in terms of either traffic or conversion. However you sort of tier your customer base, whether that's deciles or…

Scot Ciccarellianalystqa

…historically called top of the funnel, more people coming into your stores and the digital channels, versus how much was driven by better conversion rates?

Enrique Mayor-Moracompanyqa

…sales opportunities being up and our engaged customers being up and our conversion of those engaged customers being up as well. So what we're seeing…

Where the listed words were said

Keith Barrcompany“GPU” · prepared

…to support retail sales growth. We did this by continuing to drive efficiencies and reconditioning, dynamically managing GPUs, and then passing savings on to customers.

Keith Barrcompany“Inventory (3+)” · qa

…is making sure that, again, we have the right level of sellable inventory, we can maintain competitive pricings, we can price dynamically depending upon where…

Keith Barrcompany“Leverage” · prepared

…Extended Protection Plan products, an increase in cash contribution, and continued SG&A leverage. I want to thank all of our associates for their hard work,…

Keith Barrcompany“Conversion” · qa

…are priced competitively and that you're showing up in all the right channels, and that's how you maximize, again, the customer acquisition, the customer conversion.

Enrique Mayor-Moracompany“Selection” · qa

…the teams have done tremendous work around rolling out different tools for our operators. We have a new part selection tool that's benefiting the organization.

Keith Barrcompany“Reconditioning (3+)” · prepared

…quarter, as I noted earlier, we continued taking cost out of our reconditioning operations and maintained our approach of passing savings onto customers through more…

Enrique Mayor-Moracompany“Logistics” · qa

…We are going to focus on driving efficiencies in COGS, in our logistics business, and so on and so forth, in order to actually not…

Jon Danielscompany“Interest Rate” · prepared

…year-over-year, reflecting lower tier one penetration. Increased funding costs driven by the interest rate environment resulted in CAF increasing rates in tier one, where customers…

Jon Danielscompany“Loan Loss” · prepared

…prior year's second quarter, driven by a $29 million decrease in the loan loss provision to $113 million. During the second quarter of the prior…

Keith Barrcompany“Affordability” · qa

Yes. Thanks, Rajat. I will talk about the consumer. Affordability is on everyone's mind. It seems like every single discussion is around that, and I…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/carmax:2026-09-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=carmax:2026-09-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP